Day by Day

Friday, March 27, 2020

More common sense on the Chinese virus

And I just like the name "Birx" for some reason.

Dr. Birx said the coronavirus cases are currently concentrated in urban areas and the focus should be on getting medical resources into those areas from nearby parts of the state that are unaffected by the virus or from other places in the United States. Nearly 40 percent of the country, 19 out of 50 states, have reported early cases of the Wuhan coronavirus but, despite continued testing, are maintaining extraordinarily low numbers of infections, according to Dr. Birx. About 86 percent of people presenting with "significant symptoms" continue to test negative for the virus.

We're getting more data.  And that data says that while this is a significant virus, there's still no need to panic.  The more data we get, the more that we see how inaccurate the early models were.  I think a big part of that is the people making the models were using the data they had at the time, i.e. the data from China and Italy, neither of which can be trusted.

We've had one death in Utah from the Kung Flu, and that guy picked it up while traveling outside the USA.  Other locations have had more.  Apparently, New Orleans is getting hit hard.  I've been to New Orleans.  I could see a contagion starting there, just based on the climate and the actions of the folks who live there.  But should we shut down the entire country because people couldn't stay away from Mardi Gras?

We need to open back up, before the "cure" becomes worse than the disease.

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